Quantum Threat Timeline Report 2022

Up-to-date estimates and opinions of leading experts
December 2022 - evolutionQ

Some widely used cybersecurity protocols leverage computational problems that are thought to be practically impossible to solve by any reasonable conventional means in any meaningful period of time. However, such problems may become solvable by quantum computers, with potentially catastrophic consequences for cybersecurity.

One factor that determines the urgency to act to mitigate such a risk is how much time is left before a cryptographically relevant quantum computer becomes available. So, how is quantum computing research progressing?

In this new Global Risk Institute report, we have collected and analyzed up-to-date estimates and opinions of forty leading experts from four continents, both from academia and industry, shedding light on the quantum threat timeline. The report also provides information, expert opinions, and expert estimates on key milestones of quantum computing research that risk managers should monitor to keep track of the increasing quantum risk.

Authors

Dr. Marco Piani

Senior Research Analyst

Dr Piani is a theoretical physicist who has worked in the area of quantum information processing for 15 years. He is an expert on quantum resources like quantum entanglement. He joined evolutionQ in 2018.

Dr. Michele Mosca

CEO

Dr. Mosca is a world leading scientist in quantum computing, quantum cryptography, and conventional cryptography in an era with quantum technologies. He was a founder of Canada's Institute for Quantum Computing and co-authored the respected textbook "An Introduction to Quantum Computing".

Quantum Threat Timeline Report 2022

Download the full report - December 2022 - evolutionQ

Dr. Marco Piani
Dr. Michele Mosca